The winning formula in is simple: Acquire the most productive players with the least resistance to points production as you can. Marlon Davidson Jersey But what truly defines a "productive player"? Math geeks know that simply considering the old industry standards of " Points Against" and "Player Cumulative Points" will leave way too much to error to be statistically reliable.That's why I helped create a system that predicts player performance and provides the actual strength of an opponent and actual player production values.When used, this sytem has proven to be up to 37 percent more accurate than the metrics that everyone else in your league is using.The system gives you a "Player Rating," "Defense Rating," and a third "Matchup Rating." The ratings are based on the most advanced and accurate mathematical algorithm in , and take into account the following factors: Adjusted Player scoring based on strength of their previous opponents ** Adjusted Defense scoring based on the strength of the players they have faced at each position ** Whether the player and/or defense plays better at home or away ** How the player compares against other players within their same position ** How defenses compare against other defenses against the same positions ** ... and many more!Sound complicated? Don't worry -- it's simple to understand. All you need to know is that the player, defense or matchup with the higher rating is the better option. That's it. Leave the number crunching to the geeks.Use this system as the basis for your fantasy decisions to take the gue swork out of winning in and get the edge on the competition.EDITOR'S NOTE: The defense ratings for this week are based on numbers from the first five weeks of the 2014 regular season. "Statistically" a three week data sample out of a 16 week fantasy season is enough to draw valuable conclusions. The data continues to become more accurate each week. Plan on coming back for fresh algorithm-based ratings that you cannot get anywhere else!Weekly Matchup RangesThis Mike Davis Jersey chart shows the BEST and WORST defensive ratings against each position as of Week 7. The higher the number, the better the matchup:LegendHere's an easy breakdown of how each player module works. When these terms are mentioned in the text (i.e. "best") they are corresponding to these ratings and colors:Expect More:Players who could exceed expectations this week based on the weakne s of their opponent.QB has come back to fantasy relevance after his breakout game in Week 4. He still remains a matchup play and is rated accordingly. His rating indicates that he plays better against easy matchups than he does against tough ones. His three best games of the season came against his easiest rated opponents. This week he faces his second easiest matchup of the year against the . The are the second-easiest rated defense for opposing fantasy quarterbacks. If you compare Manning to the five quarterbacks that have already faced the , his player rating would be the second-highest of the group and the player rated third () scored 26 fantasy points against them in Week 5. This creates a situation where owners can "expect more" from Manning than Josh Harris Jersey his normal 17 points per game average. Forecast: This week's nice matchup will be Eli's last until Week 13 when he faces the . If you need him in the playoffs, he plays the No. 1 easiest rated defense in Week 15. Recommended Usage: QB1 's perceived fantasy value is likely to be at an all-time low after failing to score in double digits for the first time of the season last week in Indianapolis. He had been a consistent fantasy QB2 until that point and had Fabian Moreau Jersey not scored le s than 11 fantasy points in a game this season. Even after last week, Flacco ranks 11th in quarterback rating, fifth in pa s attempts and is still among the top 10 in pa sing yards. Flacco has only had one easy matchup all year and he took advantage of it by scoring a season-high 25 fantasy points against the in Week 4. This week, Flacco faces his second-easiest fantasy matchup so far this year as the travel to Tampa Bay. Flacco will be the third-highest rated quarterback to play the this season, and the fourth-rated play () scored 22 fantasy points against them in Week 4. You can expect a bounce-back week from Flacco as a spot starter, solid QB2 or even a sneaky daily fantasy start this week. Forecast: Flacco is only a one-week plug in because of a decent matchup against the . However, he should go right back on waivers after Week 6 since he doesn't have another good matchup until after his Week 11 bye. Recommended Usage: QB2 RBOne of this week's top waiver-wire adds was running back, . Williams has played about 15 to 20 snaps a game all season and even started producing in Week 4 as a backup. Williams stepped in as the lead back for the injured in Week 5, Ray Buchanan Jersey and led all running backs with seven red-zone attempts, converting one for a touchdown. Jennings was third in the league in that category before going down with his injury last week. Head coach said he is "very confident" in Williams' ability to take on a bigger role, so you should not see a short leash. Williams faces the this week, who are a top-14 easy matchup for fantasy running backs. Earlier this season the gave up huge production to (23 fantasy points) and (21 fantasy points), so this matchup should be a good one for Williams. Owners can feel confident that Williams should exceed his six fantasy points per game average this week, and he also makes for a great daily fantasy play. Forecast:Jennings is officially "week to week" with local reporters gue sing that he will be held out through the Week 8 bye. That leaves Williams with potentially one more excellent matchup in Week 7 against the fifth-easiest rated defense for opposing running backs, the . Recommended Usage: RB2 may be the most under-appreciated top-15 fantasy running