From being down 24-0 in the first half of a playoff game to being the new favorite to win the Super Bowl, how fast fates can change in the NFL. Rather, how fast fates can change in the NFL when your team is quarterbacked by , a quarterback so explosive he's capable of turning a 24-point deficit into a four-point lead all in the span of a single quarter, a player so historically great that Elias Lindholm Men Jersey he renders history insignificant. After scoring touchdowns on seven straight series to beat the by 20 points despite at one point trailing by 24 points, the are heading back to the AFC Championship game for the second straight season. The circumstances are different this time around. This time, it feels as if destiny is on their side. Unlike last season, when the Chiefs were forced to take down the mighty (and were unable to do so), the Red Sea has parted for Kansas City. They only earned a first-round bye because the Patriots lost to the in Week 17. They're only hosting the AFC Championship game because the 14-2 got blasted at home by the . They're only in the conference championship round because a selfle s fan, , decided to leave Sunday's game with the Chiefs trailing 21-0 in the first quarter. The pieces have fallen into place. The Chiefs are only two Joel Edmundson Women Jersey wins away from . According to simulations conducted by SportsLine's Stephen Oh, the Chiefs have a 42.5 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl. But they can't rely on simulations or destiny to finish the proce s. Here's what they need to do to get to and win the Super Bowl. Andy Reid needs to be aggre sive Andy Reid is both the architect of the Chiefs' out-of-this-world offense and the Chiefs' potential downfall. In that sense, he's a bit of an enigma. By my estimation, he's the league's best offensive coach and has been for some time. In his 21-season coaching career, split between Philadelphia and Kansas City, his offenses have finished top 10 in scoring 13 times. Before Mahomes came along, he elevated into an MVP candidate. As other trendy play-callers rise and fall like the sun -- we just watched Sean McVay struggle only one season after every team on the planet seemingly wanted to hire anyone who had a cup of coffee with him to capture his magic -- Reid's offenses are almost always among the best. But , at least since his first and only Super Bowl appearance with the way back in 2005, when he displayed a shocking lack of urgency as they tried to make up a two-score deficit in the fourth quarter. But it's his tendency to be conservative that might be more of a detriment to this Brock McGinn Jersey version of the Chiefs considering Mahomes' ability to score touchdowns on every single play, no matter where the ball is located, negates Reid's clock-management i sues. But Mahomes can't help it if his coach decides to punt on fourth-and-short and settle for field goals near the goal line. Reid needs to get more aggre sive. We saw his conservatism on display against the Texans. We also saw Reid's marginal improvement in this area. Let's start with the good. In the third quarter, after the Chiefs had ripped off 41 unanswered to take a 41-24 lead, they allowed a touchdown that briefly brought the Texans back within striking range. Reid very easily could've tried to burn clock with his running game. Instead, he kept his foot on the gas. On the Chiefs' ensuing series, they threw the ball four times for 72 yards and a touchdown that put them back in front by 17 points. It's a mindset that Reid needs to carry over into the conference championship round. He needs to put the ball in Mahomes' hands as much as po sible, because he gives the Chiefs the best chance to salt away the game -- not because he'll burn clock, but because he'll keep adding onto the Chiefs' lead with more points. Now, the bad. In the early going, after the Texans took a 14-0 lead before the Chiefs could blink, Mahomes drove the offense down to the Texans' Dominik Bokk Jersey 45. After dropped what would've been an easy third-down conversion, Reid opted to punt from on fourth-and-5 from the 45, even though he was trailing 14-0, even though he has Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Sure enough, after the Chiefs punted, it took the Texans' only four plays to reach the 45-yard line. Much later in the game, after the Chiefs had taken 48-31 lead in the fourth quarter, Reid settled for a field goal on fourth-and-2 from the Texans' six-yard line to turn a three-score game into a three-score game when he needed only two yards to pick up a first down or six yards to score a touchdown that would've turned a three-score game into a 24-point game (still, technically, a three-score lead, but the kind of three-score lead that requires the other team to convert three two-point conversions along the way). Kicking a field goal in that situation barely improved the Chiefs' chances of winning the game. Mahomes wanted to go for it, but Reid called him off the field NFL Game Pa s In the context of the game alone, the decision hardly mattered. The Chiefs were in control. They weren't going to lose regardle s of Reid's decision. But in a closer game, it's decisions like that that could lead to the Chiefs' downfall. It already happened the last time the Chiefs faced the Titans. Which brings us to our second category. Be more efficient in the red zone The red zone was problematic for the Chiefs' offense in the regular season when they finished 20th in red-zone scoring percentage (touchdowns only) at 54 percent. That's not entirely on Reid, but his tendency to get conservative hurts his team in this area of the field. Too often, he settles for short field goals instead of letting his offense have an extra chance at breaching the goal line. Take the Chiefs' Week 10 lo s to the Titans. In that game, which the Titans miraculously won by three, the Chiefs kicked field goals on: Fourth-and-2 from the 12Fourth-and-3 from the 23Fourth-and-2 from the 25Technically, only one of those field goals Fredrik Claesson Men Jersey came inside the red zone, but the la